What is happening in Greece? For now, it's the centre of the world, with all attention on every move it makes. It is volatile, there.
Will Greece exit the EU? Probably not on its own. But the hardliners in the EU will probably force Greece out if its demands are not met. And every hour since the No vote has passed has illustrated how unlikely it is Greece has any intention of meeting those demands.
A Greek exit would be disastrous, although not for Greece, itself. It's already waded through the aftermath of a disaster forced upon it by the EU. Things can't much worse for Greece, at all. All that would happen to it would be prolonged suffering.
The disaster will happen to the EU, and the USA. Neither of those two powers seem to be aligned, here. The USA does not want a Greek exit. The EU seems willing to force Greece out if Greece doesn't comply.
Greece doesn't seem to want to exit the EU, but its only sane options now to save itself would enrage the EU if Greece chose them.
Waiting in the wings for Greece to exit the EU is Russia. The USA seems panicked by this, sending in Victoria Nuland to do what, exactly? The USA seems flatfooted, here, and out of options. Will they make a desperate move to keep Greece away from Russia? Probably not. Hopefully not.
Will Greece exit the EU? Probably not on its own. But the hardliners in the EU will probably force Greece out if its demands are not met. And every hour since the No vote has passed has illustrated how unlikely it is Greece has any intention of meeting those demands.
A Greek exit would be disastrous, although not for Greece, itself. It's already waded through the aftermath of a disaster forced upon it by the EU. Things can't much worse for Greece, at all. All that would happen to it would be prolonged suffering.
The disaster will happen to the EU, and the USA. Neither of those two powers seem to be aligned, here. The USA does not want a Greek exit. The EU seems willing to force Greece out if Greece doesn't comply.
Greece doesn't seem to want to exit the EU, but its only sane options now to save itself would enrage the EU if Greece chose them.
Waiting in the wings for Greece to exit the EU is Russia. The USA seems panicked by this, sending in Victoria Nuland to do what, exactly? The USA seems flatfooted, here, and out of options. Will they make a desperate move to keep Greece away from Russia? Probably not. Hopefully not.
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