Honestly, I can't quite wrap my head around the fact governments allowed spread of misinformation that gave them cover to allow spread of this virus unchecked. Covid-19's not going to go away at this rate. Any and all mitigation efforts are left to the individual, and nary a care about society as a whole.
Then again, I can believe what has happened. It's happened before, historically. Cholera was allowed to spread unchecked for decades before governments ever bothered to do anything about sanitation. TB was basically controlled on the private level and ignored on the social. Any and every virus/bacteria that could spread was allowed to spread unchecked without much effort to thwart spread from government officials.
Edgar Allan Poe didn't write "The Masque of the Red Death" out of a sense of hope for what the rich and powerful were doing in regards to illness in the early 19th century, after all.
No, I can believe what has happened, and quite easily. I come from a people decimated from smallpox and TB after all. Viruses have been utilized as public policy for ages now.
But what Covid-19 is doing right now is unprecedented. Its danger is in its seemingly harmlessness. It spreads and spreads and spreads, and doesn't do harm until after it's passed. If it does cause illness, it only does so after it's made its way through the body in full. Perhaps the body overreacts but with vaccination, that danger is much less than it used to be. Rather, now in partial vaccinated people—a great majority of people—are pretty much eaten alive from the inside. Organs are left damaged and it's at least two years of recovery for many left with Long Covid.
Prior, I've mused what's likely to happen is that businesses will begin to decline, many left short-staffed many days of the year, and workers will be job-hopping as they can continue to earn pay raises moving from job to job.
But now, we'll likely be entering a new stage: collapse. The economy can only take so many days lost to illness from jobs. And with how Covid-19 tends to leave +15% of people who catch it suffering from Long Covid, it's just a matter of time before society as a whole is +50% suffering from Long Covid. Consider that an entire population of a country is likely to catch Covid-19 over the course of a year, knowingly or unknowingly. Then add the 15% of people who are left with Long Covid. Then stack up these numbers over the course of five to seven years, as Long Covid is cumulative in the population as a whole. We're currently in year four now and we'll begin seeing the beginning stages of the worst that's yet to come around now. In fact, there have been news reports of many businesses being at 40% staff shortages throughout the year.
Yeah, it's not good. Next year, Long Covid saturation should increase to about 55% to 60%. Year after that 65% to 75%. And there's no after that. Businesses can't recover from that. +75% Long Covid saturation is a disaster. We shouldn't allow it to happen. But we're sleepwalking right into it.
Socially, we're likely at the breaking point of what can be tolerated for Long Covid saturation. Any more than this, and we're likely looking at severe degradation of services—not to mention production—all-around.
Comments
Post a Comment